Between wind and water
office
The shipbuilding domain in India seems to be circumnavigating in a cauldron of hope and precariousness. A hope that stretches to the extending of the subsidy period to shipbuilding players and precariousness due to the red tapeism involved in the government’s execution of its policies and working for the greater good of the industry.
Currently, on a broader scale, the shipbuilding activity in India is facing two major concerns. One is the subsidy issue and the other is according ‘infrastructure’ status to the industry. Explains Vikram Suryavanshi, Karvy Stock Broking, “Even though subsidies are given to the shipbuilding players, the issue that has been an obstacle in the good pace of the industry is the timely payment of subsidies.”
He cautions, “There is a wide opinion in the industry to stretch the subsidies period which is going to end this year (August). And players concur that the period be extended by at least five more years.” Suryavanshi further adds, “But there is palpable disinterest on the part of the government to weigh the pros and cons of this issue.” This does not bode well, with the industry considering the benefits the subsidy scheme offers.
Subsidy extension
Under the policy, 30% subsidy on the bid price would be available to shipyards on domestic orders obtained through the global tender process for the construction of sea going vessels as defined under Section 3 (41) of the Merchant Shipping Act, 1958. However, the vessel must be a merchant vessel of a minimum length of 80 metres.
For export orders obtained through the global tender process or otherwise for the construction of any type or size of vessel, 30% subsidy on the bid price or negotiated price as the case may be will be payable to the yard.
For private players the subsidy payment is made only after the delivery of the ship while the payment to the public sector yards is stage-based. Following the in-principal approval a budget is sanctioned after which the final payout is made. It is important to note that quite a few private players have actually received any subsidy till date.
However, if implemented properly, the beneficiaries of this scheme will be the leading private sector yards in the country, besides a host of other small and medium-sized builders in the private sector.
Also not to mention the offsetting a lot of taxes, making the private sector more efficient and more competitive and putting the industry at par with the rest of the world. More so, considering the fact that subsidies account for 50% of the profitability of Indian builders, if extended, it could serve as a boon for Indian shipbuilding players.
A case in point is ABG Shipyard Company. The company had a tremendous growth margin (around 51%) since 2005, thanks to the subsidies scheme and hence the discontinuation of this scheme will rebound on private players like ABG Shipyard, Bharti Shipyard. Hence, the continuation of subsidies beyond August 2007 assumes significance. The industry expects the subsidy to be extended beyond 2007 until at least 2012.
Infrastructure glitch
The other major problem the industry is facing is the infrastructure issue. The industry has been craving for infrastructure status. This is because of the inherent advantages involved in doing so. For instance, there is a clear 16% excise duty benefit on domestic purchases, 4% CST benefit. In addition, it is estimated that interest costs could be as low as 10% along with the added advantage of paying Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) instead of the regular 33% tax rate.
It would also improve cash flows as quite a few companies have yet to receive subsidies. In terms of calculations, industry pundits recommend a shift from outright 30% subsidies to the granting “infrastructure status.” However, the failure in according infrastructure status has deprived the industry of many good things and created a plethora of issues, which call for serious consideration.
Investment paucity
Indian shipbuilding, being a capital-intensive sector, has seen lumpy investment. Considering the magnitude of orders that are involved, a substantial balance sheet size is required, in the industry, at various steps. Capital funding could lead to shipbuilders building capacities for larger ships–removing a major hurdle in shipbuilding expansion. But considering the current investment trend, which is far from constant and adequate, infrastructure will be critical in drawing-in investment opportunities. Hence the need for it.
Productivity
Indian labour is the cheapest in the world and it constitutes 15-25% of the total cost of a ship depending on the ship type. Yet, the Indian shipbuilding industry has not been able to capitalise on this key advantage. The paramount reason has been the extremely low labour productivity. This can partially be attributed to the prevalent work culture at PSU shipyards and the lack of timely investments and disorganised infrastructure.
The government’s role
Most shipbuilding countries have government support either directly or indirectly. The South Korean government has been accused of providing subsidy through better financing terms for its shipbuilders; while the US provides protection to its shipbuilding industry through legislation that stipulates the ships plying on the US coast must be manufactured by US companies; the EU provides subsidies of up to 6% of the contract value to its ships.
However, the Indian shipbuilding industry on the other hand has been taxed at levels including the source of its raw material, import duties on goods and a high tax structure. Amongst other factors, this lack of government support has contributed significantly to the low competitiveness of the industry. In addition, the traditional presence of PSU shipyard culture has added to the burden of the industry.
However, times are changing. Of late, the industry is seeing a turnaround. In a recent study, I-maritime rated the Indian shipbuilding industry’s competitiveness against other emerging shipbuilding clusters. It estimated the industry’s past fairing as uncompetitive. However, going forward, the study predicted that the competitiveness of Indian shipbuilders could increase — making India a centre for shipbuilding.
In addition, the industry’s order book is seeing a considerable change. A case in point is the offshore segment. Most of the order book has been by ships required for the offshore segment; this is especially true for the private shipyards.
Though the industry has historically been hampered initially by the apathy and laid back attitude of the government and then the long downturn in the shipping cycle, currently, Indian shipbuilding companies have been doing well for themselves. Both on the profitability as well as on ‘contributing-to-the-industry-growth,’ front.
On the valuation front, analysts prefer Bharti Shipyard to ABG Shipyard. Considering the growth and the project execution capabilities Bharti Shipyard has been exhibiting, analysts consider their stock as safe bet. There is still a ray of hope with the emergence of new, competent players in the industry.
According to Surbhi Chawla, Angel broking, “There is an estimation that the industry is going to be worth $20 billion by 2020. India’s share in terms of tapping into the offshore market is 0.4%. So there is immense potential for players to cash in on this still-to-milk domain.” This is happening in a gradual phase. About 65% of the private shipbuilders’ order books are geared towards the oil & gas sector. Globally, India has one of the largest AHTS order books and India’s prominence in the sector is due to the unfeasibility of producing niche vessels in large shipyards and the availability of skilled labour.
Companies like Bharati and ABG Shipyards are amongst the top yards in terms of the number of AHTS order book. While offshore vessels account for 8% of the world order book, they contribute close to 46% of India’s order book. Moreover, if favourable conditions prevail there will be a lot more good companies emerging who will mirror the growth of these companies. However, for this is to materialise, constant proactiveness and a ‘being-aware-and-executing-ones’-responsibilities approach from the government is tremendously needed. If this happens, the industry would be beneficial, efficient and far more self-reliant.
Posted in Maritime News |
No Comments »